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29 lines
980 B
Python
29 lines
980 B
Python
11 months ago
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import pandas as pd
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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import xgboost as xgb
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from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
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from sklearn.metrics import r2_score
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df = pd.read_excel('../400v入模数据/绍兴.xlsx',index_col='stat_date')
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df.index = pd.to_datetime(df.index)
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x_train = df.loc['2021-1':'2023-10'][:-3].drop(columns='0.4kv及以下')
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y_train = df.loc['2021-1':'2023-10'][:-3]['0.4kv及以下']
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x_eval = df.loc['2023-10'].drop(columns='0.4kv及以下')
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y_eval = df.loc['2023-10']['0.4kv及以下']
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x_train,x_test,y_train,y_test = train_test_split(x_train,y_train,test_size=0.2,random_state=42)
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model = xgb.XGBRegressor(max_depth=6,learning_rate=0.05,n_estimators=150)
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model.fit(x_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(x_test)
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print(r2_score(y_test,y_pred))
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predict = model.predict(x_eval)
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result = pd.DataFrame({'eval':y_eval,'pred':predict},index=y_eval.index)
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print(result)
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print((result['eval'][-3:].sum()-result['pred'][-3:].sum())/result['eval'].sum())
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